{"id":1360,"date":"2015-10-10T11:54:09","date_gmt":"2015-10-10T11:54:09","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.awpl.lt\/?p=1360"},"modified":"2015-10-10T11:54:09","modified_gmt":"2015-10-10T11:54:09","slug":"vis-auga-llra-populiarumo-reitingai","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.awpl.lt?p=1354","title":{"rendered":"Vis auga LLRA populiarumo reitingai"},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Lietuvos lenk\u0173 bendruomen\u0117 nuolat auga ir tampa vis \u012ftakingesn\u0117. LLRA pirmininkas Valdemar Toma\u0161evski pateko \u012f Lietuvos \u012ftakingiausi\u0173 politik\u0173 s\u0105ra\u0161\u0105, o partijos populiarumas taip pat did\u0117ja.<!--more--><br \/>\nPortalo \u201eDelfi\u201c u\u017esakymu\u00a0 atlikto bendrov\u0117s \u201eSpinter tyrimai\u201c rezultatai rodo, kad \u0161i\u0173 met\u0173 rugpj\u016bt\u012f parama Lietuvos lenk\u0173 rinkim\u0173 akcijai siek\u0117 4,2 proc.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Pagal paskelbtus naujausius visuomen\u0117s nuomon\u0117s apklausos rezultatus, per m\u0117nes\u012f Rinkim\u0173 akcijos populiarumas padid\u0117jo nuo 4,2 proc. \u0161i\u0173 met\u0173 rugpj\u016bt\u012f iki 4,3 proc. \u0161.m. rugs\u0117j\u012f.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Kai LLRA i\u0161gyvena populiarumo \u0161uol\u012f, kai kurios Lietuvos did\u017eiausios partijos praranda r\u0117m\u0117jus. Pavyzd\u017eiui, liberalai \u017eymi 2.7 proc. nuosmuk\u012f, Tvarka ir teisingumas \u2013 0,6 proc., Darbo partija \u2013 0,2 proc., \u017dali\u0173j\u0173 pozicija reitinge nepasikeit\u0117.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Lietuvos tyrimai paprastai beveik tris kartus suma\u017eina tikruosius LLRA rezultatus. Taip yra d\u0117l tyrim\u0173 regionuose savitumo ir juos u\u017esakan\u010di\u0173 asmen\u0173 ir subjekt\u0173 nusiteikimo.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Tyrimuose prognozuojami LLRA ir jos lyderio Valdemaro Toma\u0161evskio rinkim\u0173 rezultatai yra neadekvat\u016bs. Pavyzd\u017eiui, prie\u0161 pastaruosius 2014 m. prezidento rinkimus apklausos prognozavo 1,1 proc. param\u0105, o europarlamentaras gavo 8,4 proc. bals\u0173.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">2014 metais LLRA buvo prognozuota tik 2 proc. parama, o partija gavo 8 proc. bals\u0173, vadinasi, keturiskart daugiau nei rod\u0117 prognoz\u0117s.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Pana\u0161iai 2011 metais \u201eBaltijos tyrimai\u201c skelb\u0117, kad LLRA gaus 2 procent\u0173 rink\u0117j\u0173 param\u0105, o politin\u0117 partija d\u017eiaug\u0117si 7 proc. parama.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Jei mes priimtume kitose \u0161alyse naudojamus partij\u0173 populiarumo nustatymo metodus, kaip pavyzd\u017eiui, Lenkijoje, kai neatsi\u017evelgiama \u012f neketinan\u010di\u0173 dalyvauti rinkimuose ir neapsisprendusi\u0173 respondent\u0173 nuo\u0161imt\u012f, tada parama LLRA b\u016bt\u0173 keliais procentiniais punktais didesn\u0117, nors ir taip suma\u017einta, nes i\u0161 ties\u0173 Lietuvos lenk\u0173 rinkim\u0173 akcija turi dvej\u0173 skaitmen\u0173 lygio param\u0105 10-12 proc. ribose.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Tyrimas buvo atliekamas \u0161.m. rugs\u0117jo 18-26 dienomis. Jo metu apklausta 1005 gyventoj\u0173, kuri\u0173 am\u017eius 18-75 metai.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.l24.lt\"><em><strong>www.L24.lt<\/strong><\/em><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><em><strong>2015-10-08<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Lietuvos lenk\u0173 bendruomen\u0117 nuolat auga ir tampa vis \u012ftakingesn\u0117. LLRA pirmininkas Valdemar Toma\u0161evski pateko \u012f Lietuvos \u012ftakingiausi\u0173 politik\u0173 s\u0105ra\u0161\u0105, o partijos populiarumas taip pat did\u0117ja.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":1358,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"dwc-title":[],"dwc-content":[],"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_uf_show_specific_survey":0,"_uf_disable_surveys":false,"ngg_post_thumbnail":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.awpl.lt\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1360"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.awpl.lt\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.awpl.lt\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.awpl.lt\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.awpl.lt\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=1360"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.awpl.lt\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1360\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1361,"href":"https:\/\/www.awpl.lt\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1360\/revisions\/1361"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.awpl.lt\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/1358"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.awpl.lt\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=1360"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.awpl.lt\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=1360"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.awpl.lt\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=1360"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}