{"id":1307,"date":"2015-09-29T08:18:42","date_gmt":"2015-09-29T08:18:42","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.awpl.lt\/?p=1307"},"modified":"2015-09-29T16:20:28","modified_gmt":"2015-09-29T16:20:28","slug":"stabili-llra-populiarumo-pozicija","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.awpl.lt?p=1299","title":{"rendered":"Stabili LLRA populiarumo pozicija"},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Pagal naujausi\u0105 bendrov\u0117s \u201eSpinter tyrimai&#8221; atlikt\u0105 apklaus\u0105 ir portale \u201eDelfi&#8221; paskelbtus rezultatus, rugpj\u016bt\u012f Lietuvos lenk\u0173 rinkim\u0173 akcijos populiarumas siek\u0117 4,2 proc.<!--more--><br \/>\nApklausos Lietuvoje paprastai realiai neatspindi tikr\u0173j\u0173 partij\u0173 rezultat\u0173, nes jie b\u016bna keliskart suma\u017einami. Taip yra d\u0117l apklaus\u0173 specifikos regionuose, konkre\u010di\u0173 asmen\u0173 ir \u012fstaig\u0173, u\u017esakan\u010di\u0173 apklausas, nusistatymo.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Apklausas atliekan\u010dios bendrov\u0117s da\u017enai netiksliai prognozuoja LLRA ir jos pirmininko Valdemaro Toma\u0161evskio palaikymo rezultatus.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Pavyzd\u017eiui, prie\u0161 paskutiniuosius Prezidento rinkimus 2014 metais, nuomoni\u0173 tyrimus atliekan\u010dios bendrov\u0117s nurod\u0117 vos 1,1 proc. Valdemaro Toma\u0161evskio populiarum\u0105, ta\u010diau \u0161is rinkimuose susilauk\u0117 8,4 proc. rink\u0117j\u0173 palaikymo.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">2014 metais LLRA buvo prognozuojamas tik 2 procent\u0173 palaikymas, tuo tarpu u\u017e \u0161i\u0105 politin\u0119 j\u0117g\u0105 balsavo 8 proc. rink\u0117j\u0173, t.y. keturis kartus daugiau nei buvo prognozuota.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Pana\u0161iai 2011 metais \u201eBaltijos tyrimai&#8221; prana\u0161avo LLRA 2 proc. rink\u0117j\u0173 palaikym\u0105, tuo tarpu Lietuvos lenk\u0173 rinkim\u0173 akcija d\u017eiaug\u0117si 7 procent\u0173 palaikymu.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Jeigu b\u016bt\u0173 skai\u010diuojama pagal partij\u0173 populiarumo nustatymo metod\u0105, naudojam\u0105 kitose \u0161alyse, pavyzd\u017eiui, Lenkijoje, kai n\u0117ra atsi\u017evelgiama \u012f neketinan\u010di\u0173 dalyvauti rinkimuose nuo\u0161imt\u012f ir neapsisprendusi\u0173 respondent\u0173 metod\u0105, LLRA populiarumas b\u016bt\u0173 didesnis keliais procentiniais punktais. Atsi\u017evelgiant \u012f tai, reikia manyti, kad dabar LLRA populiarumas i\u0161 ties\u0173 siekia dvi\u017eenkl\u012f skai\u010di\u0173.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Tyrimas buvo atliktas rugs\u0117jo 22-31 dienomis. Tyrimo metu buvo apklausta 1013 asmen\u0173 18-75 met\u0173 am\u017eiaus grup\u0117je.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.l24.lt\"><em><strong>www.L24.lt<\/strong><\/em><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><em><strong>2015-08-28<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Pagal naujausi\u0105 bendrov\u0117s \u201eSpinter tyrimai&#8221; atlikt\u0105 apklaus\u0105 ir portale \u201eDelfi&#8221; paskelbtus rezultatus, rugpj\u016bt\u012f Lietuvos lenk\u0173 rinkim\u0173 akcijos populiarumas siek\u0117 4,2 proc.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":1303,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"dwc-title":[],"dwc-content":[],"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_uf_show_specific_survey":0,"_uf_disable_surveys":false,"ngg_post_thumbnail":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.awpl.lt\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1307"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.awpl.lt\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.awpl.lt\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.awpl.lt\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.awpl.lt\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=1307"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.awpl.lt\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1307\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1308,"href":"https:\/\/www.awpl.lt\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1307\/revisions\/1308"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.awpl.lt\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/1303"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.awpl.lt\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=1307"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.awpl.lt\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=1307"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.awpl.lt\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=1307"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}