Record survey support for EAPL
Electoral Action of Poles in Lithuania (EAPL) beat records of popularity. The survey support for the party has reached 5 percent in July 2015. This is the highest quotation of the party recorded in the polls over the past several years. The survey was carried out by the company ‘Baltijos tyrimai’ on the order of ELTA agency on 10-23 July 2015. The survey company asked residents for which national party they would vote if the Seimas elections were held in the near future.
24 percent of respondents replied that they would vote for Social Democrats, 14 percent – for the Liberal Movement, 11 percent – for the Labour Party, and 7 percent – for the Order and Justice Party.
EAPL has received 5 percent of support and such result was better than the results achieved by the Lithuanian Peasant and Greens Union (4 percent), Lithuanian Freedom Union (less than 2 percent), and the Lithuanian Green Party (1 percent).
EAPL was among the three parties which, in comparison to the results of June 2015, noted the fastest growth of popularity (an increase of 2 percentage points).
23 percent of respondents stated, that they would not take part in the elections or that they do not know for which party they would vote.
There is also another way of the determination of party popularity existing in other states, e.g. in Poland, when the percentage of respondents who do not intend to take part in the elections or who are hesitant is not taken into account. If such method was be applied, the support for EAPL would be even bigger. But still in case of the Electoral Action the result would be underestimated, as in fact EAPL enjoys much higher support.
Usually, the survey companies in Lithuania tend to underestimate the results of the party almost three times. It results from the specificity of conducting surveys in the regions and specific attitudes of individuals and entities outsourcing the conduct of surveys.
Even Lithuanian observers of the national political scene note that the survey companies, including ‘Baltijos tyrimai’, inadequately predict the electoral results of EAPL and its leader Valdemar Tomaševski.
For example, the surveys predicted the result of 1.1 percent before the last presidential election in 2014 for Valdemar Tomaševski, while he managed to receive 8.4 percent.